Forecasts I made this Summer:

Slowdown temporary, economy poised for growth, Consumer Confidence meaningless, Japan a big but temporary shock, Multi-Family will explode.

Lots of Good stuff for me:

Industrial Production:

Retail Sales:

Japan Bounce Back:

Multi-Family Starts:


Predictions this Fall: No Lender of Last Resort means all of Europe will burn.

French Bond Yields:


As always the key to having a good forecasting record is to only check the tape when you are ahead.