In response to my post on government employment slowdown lark asks

How does this square with the fact that private sector employment is 2% below where it was 10 years ago?

The current cycle is a little different than the long run trajectory of state and local employment but even still its important to note that all employment including private, state, local and federal is down.

Moreover, there has been a recent spike up in government employment as a fraction of total. This is reversing itself, but it was of course caused by the dramatic fall in private employment.

Here is government employment as a fraction of total employment

FRED Graph

Here is State and Local

FRED Graph

Here is Federal

FRED Graph

I don’t have a good sense for what Federal employees in the aggregate do. A fair share are postal workers but not enough to account for this trend.

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