Megan McArdle pushes back
Have you spent much time working for small/growing businesses, operating one, or talking to those who fund them?
There are a lot of truly terrible small business CEOs. You look at someone running a successful small business and they don’t look that special because there are seventeen more just like him down the street. You don’t see the far larger group of folks who folded because they didn’t pay attention to their customers, their margins, or their supply chain.
I actually think it’s quite unlikely that the Lowes family just got lucky. Probably there were ten other businesses who wanted to do the same, and weren’t any more talented, but got unlucky. But there were hundreds more who wanted to do the same, and couldn’t hack it. Survivor bias works two ways.
I am not sure what counts as a lot of time. My stepfather, my father-in-law and my brother-in-law all operate small businesses. In different industries and with the intention of growing them.
Indeed, my step-father is a serial entrepreneur and I have worked with him on more than one venture.
Additionally, I founded an e-magazine in college. And, though time has rendered this no longer a legal matter, I want to say carefully that I ran a financial services firm for people who could not avail themselves of traditional providers.
My point, I want to be clear, is not that super successful businesses come from folks who were bumbling fools but won the economic lottery. People work hard and are driven to produce the product that they want.
However, let me give you a specific example. My step-father is obsessed – and I mean obsessed – with customer service. He is supremely exacting in how he wants his employees to respond to customers and furious when a customer does not get what he or she expected.
I have been at businesses that talked a big game but this is a whole ‘nother level.
However, by no means did he sit down and say: look the value that customers place on service is roughly X, the cost to my employees is Y, which means that I can expand my value add by increasing customer service levels by this much.
Nor – and being up close I can tell you this – did he do this subconsciously. This was not a pool player doing trigonometry in the back of his mind situation.
He does this because he has a belief about the way a business should be run. This focus on customer service has proven an enormous help in some of his businesses and a brutal failure in others. Yet, he does it in all cases because that’s who is.
This is what I mean by not having any real idea what you are doing. He does what he does because that’s his belief about what a business should do. If it happens to be the case that this behavior maximizes profits he will succeed. If it does not then he will – and has – failed.
It depends on the details of the industry, the price elasticity of the customers, the characteristic of the worker pool, the expanse of control he can manage, etc. However, none of this is going to affect is dedication to customer service.
Thus it is not conscious design. After the fact, you may look back and say “oh he really understood the market.” Pardon me, but he understand nothing. He simply was, as a hurricane or a mountain simply is. And in certain industries, who he was, was extremely successful.

7 comments
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Wednesday ~ October 26th, 2011 at 9:11 am
Axel
Your point is basically that ‘design’ is not à prerequisite to small biz success. what about the reciprocal ?
do you think design can be enough to grow q successful small business? any example ?
if it s neither necessary nor sufficient, it w
ould then characterize the invisible hand as a system where success is unrelated to system understanding (or as a system where the requirement for success is to be oneself and lucky ). looks a bit naive don t you think?
Wednesday ~ October 26th, 2011 at 9:25 am
Roland Stephen
Like this post very much–Steve Jobs was who he was, and I suspect that that quite distinct character could only thrive under very specialized circumstances at a very specific time in history. Other Steve Jobs types exist, but we will never know their names, village Hampdens living out of sight because the time and place did not suit that particular character..
Wednesday ~ October 26th, 2011 at 9:46 am
Becky Hargrove
I did not like the idea of ‘truly terrible’ small business CEOs. People are in business because this is the way they desire to connect with others, and many, many more people would be in business right now if they could…it is truly lousy being behind a closed door when a recession is on. And like the idea of the hurricane or mountain, a million factors come in to play besides the individual’s striving for success. At the very least, people can work to make economic environments more conducive for everyone to partake, without those efforts being perceived as central planning.
Wednesday ~ October 26th, 2011 at 10:25 am
Johnnie Linn
Design does not have to be conscious. Milk bottles laid on their sides are effective mousetraps–especially Yorkshire milk bottles that have long tapering necks. Mice are attracted by reflections from inside the bottle and crawl in and find they cannot get out again.
Wednesday ~ October 26th, 2011 at 11:25 am
e
I agree with your basic premise that capitalism operates better than the individuals that make it up, but I think you’re cutting some corners. The transition Lowes went through probably wasn’t an instintaneous revolution. My guess is that they made a lot of relatively small steps and got positive feedback from the market. Other firms probably made some of the same small steps but weren’t as sensitive to the feedback from customers or misunderstood what the customers were responding too. Similarly your step father may be obsessive about customer service because he listens to customers and thinks thats what they’re always telling him. He probably thinks thats how businesses should be run because when he goes to businesses with poor customer service he gets frustrated and doesn’t come back. Obviously luck is a big deal but you can’t say someone “just is” when we all get signals from other people and respond to them so frequently.
Wednesday ~ October 26th, 2011 at 1:29 pm
Wonks Anonymous
The Monkey Cage pushes back against Cowen on Italian small businesses:
http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2011/10/25/all-that-you-ever-wanted-to-know-about-the-political-economy-of-small-businesses-in-italy-but-were-afraid-to-ask-and-much-much-more/#more-11520
Saturday ~ November 19th, 2011 at 6:06 am
My pet theory of capitalism « Shewing the fly
[...] loud, usual caveats on speculative reasoning etc. This line of thought was inspired by a Karl Smith post about a month ago, but I take a different angle [...]