One thing that we don’t do enough when thinking about US real time policy is watch international trends. Europe has been making headlines because its potential to blow up the world and because it serves as a morality tale for supporters of austerity.
However, just watching the ups and down of other countries can be informative in breaking apart trends that result from some unique domestic policy and wider worldwide movements.
All of that is simply to point that Australia is the land that the ‘nils forgot. There its forever 1998.
Here is employment ratio in the US vs Australia

The two countries match in ups and downs (though the downs down-under were worse) up until about 1998. Then the US stats in on a slow slide, while Australia just keeps on going.
Even the hit Australia took from the “Great Recession” was barely noticed.
Perhaps more pain inducing for Americans. Here are relative unemployment rates.

The 1992 recession hit Australia hard but after that’s its been unemployment has been down, down. It should come as no surprise that I consider this a triumph of Australian monetary policy. In 1993 Australia adopted a level targeting plan that centered around an average inflation rate of 2 to 3%. This implied that if inflation ran too low the central bank would let it run high.
The results are below:


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Monday ~ September 5th, 2011 at 6:57 pm
Wertz
Wouldn’t the decline in 1998-present in the US be due to the baby boomers peaking out and beginning their decline? Is there any way to compare population dynamics to Australia?
Monday ~ September 5th, 2011 at 7:00 pm
Tel
If you gently shade the John Howard years (Prime Minister from 1996 to 2007) those graphs tend to make him look pretty good. Might be worth also shading the Paul Keating years before that which was when the actual structural changes occurred.
Just for the record, I’m not personally a great fan of John Howard, he was a bit of a fascist (used in the original Italian sense of a corporatist state), but he did achieve good economic stats (but of course, that’s often the attraction of fascism). Beyond that, the rise of Chinese manufacturing has been amazingly generous to the Australian resource sector (and our consumer retail sector has done pretty well too, even if the bricks-and-mortar stores are moaning about online competition, a lot of retail goods are sold regardless).
Monday ~ September 5th, 2011 at 9:26 pm
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Tuesday ~ September 6th, 2011 at 1:21 pm
Benny Lava
I wonder if this has anything to do with it:
http://au.ibtimes.com/articles/121015/20110310/australia-s-energy-and-mineral-export-earnings-record-high-in-2010.htm
Hmmm, curiouser and curiouser…
Tuesday ~ November 8th, 2011 at 1:53 am
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