A point that I’ve been trying to make but don’t have the time is the following: intuition about personal finance causes major mistakes when transferred to public finance.
There are a lot of examples but one of them is common and on public display right now: raking up lots of debt is an example of spending too much money or “living beyond your means”
There are several reasons why this is wrong but the one that causes the most confusion amongst the man on the street is not realizing your personal control over spending versus revenues is essentially the exact opposite of the governments control over spending versus revenues and that this is more or less by design.
For the man on the street its really hard to control your revenue. You can’t easily boost your salary by 30%. Even getting a second job entails such hardship that its rarely the first or even second resort of settled middle class Americans. College students and poorer folks get second jobs all the time, which ironically gives them better intuition about how federal budgets work than a typical middle class family.
On the other hand, most middle class families have a significant fraction of their income spent on “luxuries.” I don’t mean diamonds and trips to the Caymans but things that one could in a literal since do with out.
You don’t actually have to eat meat to survive. You don’t have to buy new clothes rather than used ones. You don’t need a new car, etc. In most places you could live – uncomfortably but still live – without AC and with very little heat. You could pack 4 people in 900 square foot apartment, rather than a 2000 sqft house. There are lots of ways to cut back that result in a lower standard of living but don’t really impact short-term your ability to function as a human being.
Meat, air conditioning, reliable heating, new clothes, newer cars, your own bedroom these are all niceties not necessities.
As such most middle class folks can cut back on their spending with relative ease. They probably won’t get sick, malnourished or injured from exposure as a result of spending cuts.
What this means is that if revenues are running lower than spending – a necessary condition for building up debt – the most obvious choice is to cut spending. Therefore, as a rule of thumb people develop the notion that debt comes from living beyond your means.
In theory one could just as easily say that debt is caused by earning means below your standard of living. If you are in debt you need to make more money. And a significant number of working class people approach the world this way. They try to get overtime at their jobs, they moonlight somewhere else, they traffic in small scale flea market merchandise. The classic working class complaint about tough time stretches in personal finance is not having to cut back, its having to work double-shifts.
As a side note this another reason why recessions – and failure of labor markets to clear – is so damning for working class folks as compared to the middle class.
However, again for most middle class people its much easier to cut spending that to increase revenue so the saying goes the other way.
Now,to the government. The exact opposite is true. It is much easier for the government to raise revenue than to cut spending. Moreover, most of the movement in the deficit is tied to movements in revenue, not movements in spending.
Thus the exact same reasoning that leads you to associate debt and spending in your personal life should lead you to associate debt and revenue for the government.
Corporate finance has a structure somewhere in between, but it’s a common joke that some managers believe if we cut costs low enough that we can make money without selling any units. That’s just a way of poking fun at how such managers use rules of thumb from personal life in the the business world where they don’t apply.
None of this is to say that you might not have other reasons for preferring spending cuts to revenue cuts. It is simply to say the intuition that high debt means you’ve spent too much is wrong.

11 comments
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Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 11:32 am
todd
“Moreover, most of the movement in the deficit is tied to movements in revenue, not movements in spending.” I have trouble squaring this statement with the graphs I’ve seen showing the growth in government revenues and spending. If spending were stable in the face of declining revenues, then it might be easier to reconcile, but it seems to me that spending has continued to increase apace while revenues have not.
Friday ~ April 22nd, 2011 at 1:58 am
David Shor
This isn’t true. Tax as a percent of GDP has been more volatile than spending.
Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 11:40 am
Wonks Anonymous
“Moreover, most of the movement in the deficit is tied to movements in revenue, not movements in spending.”
A progressive income tax system is going to have revenue highly correlated with the swings of the national economy. Spending runs along fairly autonomously. Just as, to quote Nick Rowe, straight lines don’t happen in nature, revenue moves as adependent variable, spending moves as an independent one.
Steve Landsburg says government raising more revenue is like withdrawing more of your money from the ATM.
I see that the government used to spend much less per capita or as percent of GDP, that much of our spending (blowing things up) is pure negative sum and could easily be done without. Much of what the government spends money on is neither necessary for it to continue functioning nor legally obligatory. We may not be on the wrong side of the Laffer curve for tax revenue, but we are much closer to that ceiling than the floor for spending.
Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 11:41 am
Mark Thoma
This post of mine from a few days ago makes the same argument:
http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2011/04/confusing-the-size-of-the-deficit-with-the-size-of-government.html
Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 12:13 pm
Ryan P
I have to agree with Todd. It doesn’t seem reasonable to me to argue (1) meat, heat, and AC are things you choose to buy because we could physically survive without them, and (2) all increases in military spending or entitlements are not choices. Hasn’t military spending doubled? Aren’t we spending money on medical services that haven’t existed for all that long (so by definition we could go on without)?
Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 12:25 pm
Hyena
It’s really sad to me that this issue keeps coming up. I think the blogosphere has beaten this horse rather severely and it has yet to die.
Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 1:25 pm
ℑ
“What this means is that if revenues are running higher than spending – a necessary condition for building up debt..”
I think you mean “if spending is running higher than revenues”
Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 2:21 pm
Landsburg on Responsibility « Modeled Behavior
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Friday ~ April 15th, 2011 at 9:13 pm
William McClain
The problem with this whole essay is that while it may make a lot of valid reasons for why the government amasses debt as opposed to households. The government may willingly pass tax cuts, but household debt rarely begins because we voluntary decided to take pay cuts. Though it may also occur because we lose our jobs – a revenue trigger.
The real problem is that the economics behind the notion that the first solution should be a revenue adjustment by the government is that the government is restrained by the same economic laws as everyone else. Absolutely taxes could be higher without doing unrepairable damage to our economy. But there isn’t an unlimited revenue pump. The tax code, debt issues, and the ability to print money are, in theory, revenue pumps – but none of them are able to do so without profound effects.
Despite the fact that the government operates in a very different economic role from households, it is still part of the same ultimate economy and it is still governed ultimately by human action, which form the foundation for any economic model. Meaning, what the government does may be for a different purpose than a household, but both the government and the household are subject to the same economic laws. If households had the ability to make significant changes to their revenue they may be able to alleviate short-term debt. But if this happened at a scale the size of the government, it would wreak havoc on the monetary supply, the value of money, and the ability to trust economic contracts.
This doesn’t all mean that we should only consider spending and not tax increases, a sound debt structure, and a conservative money printing operation. The government, like households, is obliged to make use of all their economic tools. But those tools have to ultimately function within the confines of economic law. A revenue-happy approach, and not one which first looks to conform to current situations, could do a lot more damage than the good it sets out to do.
Sunday ~ April 24th, 2011 at 2:59 pm
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Wednesday ~ May 4th, 2011 at 8:42 am
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