Wednesday ~ November 3rd, 2010 in Society
I still have my doubts but the numbers do bolster Arnold’s case
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Wednesday ~ November 3rd, 2010 at 6:10 pm
Really? In what way?
I see a multi-cultural, polyethnic nation divided along almost every imaginable fault line:
Geography (coasts vs interior, N vs S)
Nascar vs NHL/NBA/NFL
Cheddar vs Brie
Should I include effete liberal snobbery?
How does any of this translate to one party rule?
My potential overlap with Kling probably hovers around the 1% mark, but I agree with his final sentence – I think:
For now, the only two elements of the political system are Progressive Corporatism and The Resistance. And the latter does not amount to much yet.
Though I’m not at all sure that we mean the same thing by “Progressive.”
I would use it as an adjective, and can make no sense of the oxymoron implied by his capitalization.
Meanwhile, Rand Paul and Ron Johnson are in the Senate.
Thursday ~ November 4th, 2010 at 9:13 am
“Why are Republicans in strong position to hold the House? Three reasons:”
1. Natural geography
Basically, most of the country is red because too many liberals are housing in already blue states, compounding their irrelevance as voters. Instead of turning red states blue, they’re holding their breath and turning more blue.
The GOP has won tons and tons of state legislatures and governorships. They’re going to be able to redistrict most states to their partisan ideal for an entire decade. Yay.
Unless Bernanke and the Fed grow a boner for Democratic wins in 2012 by making any QE work and lifting the economy up, Republicans will gain even more in 2012 due to lack of personal income growth and stagnant (and probably, by then, structural) unemployment. Even if Obama manages to retain his presidency, the GOP will win the Senate and perhaps even get a stronger hold in the House. If they win the presidency in 2012, the economy will have recovered by then (maybe) and they’ll get the applause, maintaining their leadership into 2014. They will probably lose a bit if the economy recovers by 2014 and Obama’s in office (voters will thank the president’s party). However, due to #1 and #2, any potential Democratic wins will be minimal at best. We’ll have a primarily Republican controlled Federal Government until 2020 when Kling’s prediction might come to fruition.
By then a lot of those minorities will be much more purple than blue, if not red.
Thursday ~ November 4th, 2010 at 11:44 am
Here’s Dick Morris pretty much saying the same thing: GOP will make it impossible for Dems to get House back until 2020, using redistricting.
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