Single Party State Watch

Yea. No.

http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonathan-chait/78892/the-house-republican-and-it-aint-going-back

“Why are Republicans in strong position to hold the House? Three reasons:”

1. Natural geography
Basically, most of the country is red because too many liberals are housing in already blue states, compounding their irrelevance as voters. Instead of turning red states blue, they’re holding their breath and turning more blue.

2. Redistricting
The GOP has won tons and tons of state legislatures and governorships. They’re going to be able to redistrict most states to their partisan ideal for an entire decade. Yay.

3. Timing
Unless Bernanke and the Fed grow a boner for Democratic wins in 2012 by making any QE work and lifting the economy up, Republicans will gain even more in 2012 due to lack of personal income growth and stagnant (and probably, by then, structural) unemployment. Even if Obama manages to retain his presidency, the GOP will win the Senate and perhaps even get a stronger hold in the House. If they win the presidency in 2012, the economy will have recovered by then (maybe) and they’ll get the applause, maintaining their leadership into 2014. They will probably lose a bit if the economy recovers by 2014 and Obama’s in office (voters will thank the president’s party). However, due to #1 and #2, any potential Democratic wins will be minimal at best. We’ll have a primarily Republican controlled Federal Government until 2020 when Kling’s prediction might come to fruition.

By then a lot of those minorities will be much more purple than blue, if not red.