Educated people in developed countries are typically aghast when anyone suggests that you might want to risk destruction of entire nations just to save a little cash. As an economist I would say this results from their low marginal valuation of income. A person in the developing might say that they don’t really know the value of a dollar.
In any case, I don’t think it’s helpful to bore or more likely enrage my readers with a cold, quantitative comparison of the value of statistical life across counties. So instead, let’s look at some of the things money can buy:
Would you risk your life for these things? How about this:
And perhaps most meaningful to me personally:
When this is what economic growth means to you — when this is what GDP means to you — $2.5 Trillion (5% of world GDP) takes on a somewhat different meaning.
So, the economic question is not whether risking climate change is worth giving up your HUMMER. It’s whether it’s worth giving up these little girls’ school. Remember that developing world GDP will also be reduced by carbon emission restrictions.
You might instantly retort that you want both. You want to reduce the risk of economic destruction AND buy these things for children in developing countries. But, unless you’re going to give everything you have to raise them out of poverty the question has to be would they rather have a reduction in climate change or even more schools and even more housing. Perhaps you are giving to them now, but you could still give more if we took the proceeds from forgoing Waxman-Markey and sent them all there.
I don’t think that has to be an academic question, either. Climate Change and Human Development Assistance is an idea whose time has come.

6 comments
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Tuesday ~ June 30th, 2009 at 4:59 pm
Mike
I am not well-trained in growth or macroeconomic theory. If I was to have my knee-jerk reaction it would be that (a) the cost from global warming to these regions are real and certain, (b) while the projected loss of GDP (as well as food/water estimates) from passing climate change requires a seemless End of History style globalization of markets and Solow-ian convergence of producitivity of capital and labor. That’s a knee-jerk reaction, but I’d be curious as to your opinion of it. I’m confident on (a), not sure on (b).
Because honestly I think of AGW and think that the first world is going to have to take in hundreds of millions of third world climate change refugees, something that could go seriously ugly.
Tuesday ~ June 30th, 2009 at 5:51 pm
dWj
People seem to respond the same way to health care a lot of the time. Anything that requires the use of economic resources that cannot then be used for something else is subject to economic principles, especially where consumers have different tastes. Wishing it weren’t so doesn’t help.
Interesting, Mike; I kind of assumed most people were the other way around. The economic costs seem to be easier to pin down; the science as to what will happen if we emit A versus if we emit B seems much fuzzier.
Tuesday ~ June 30th, 2009 at 10:54 pm
teageegeepea
Sounds like a Kaldor-Hicks efficiency type standard. The money outweighs the warming effects because if we transferred the money to those effected they would prefer to that outcome to one in which we restricted carbon and made no transfers. However, in all likelihood we probably won’t transfer much money. Foreign aid is a miniscule (yet very hated) part of the federal budget. According to Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, it doesn’t even go to the benefit of poor people in other countries. Rather it is how our government bribes other governments to behave to our liking.
Since rich countries make up the largest portion of the global economy, most of the lost dollars due to carbon restrictions will come from them and so the money will continue to buy Hummers. Due to the declining utility of dollars for rich people, they may be more willing to give money to poor countries if they get richer (Gates & Buffet are examples), but if we take a Rawlsian rather than utilitarian view we may disregard all the utility the best off get from those Hummers and all improvements going to the poorest.
Wednesday ~ July 1st, 2009 at 4:59 pm
kwsmith2
Mike – Let me take that up in a future post
Wednesday ~ July 1st, 2009 at 6:56 pm
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